A Stitch in Time Adaptation to Climate Variability and Change - ISSE在时间的适应气候变化——ISSE一针.pptVIP

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2018-06-23 发布于四川
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A Stitch in Time Adaptation to Climate Variability and Change - ISSE在时间的适应气候变化——ISSE一针.ppt

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A Stitch in Time Adaptation to Climate Variability and Change - ISSE在时间的适应气候变化——ISSE一针

A Stitch in Time: Adaptation to Climate Variability and Change Kristie L. Ebi, Ph.D., MPH Krisebi@ July 2006 Vulnerability The degree to which individuals and systems are susceptible to or unable to cope with the adverse effects of climate variability and change. Vulnerability is a function of: Sensitivity to changes in weather and climate (exposure-response relationship), including population characteristics Exposure Adaptation baseline Adaptation Actions taken by individuals, institutions, and governments Anticipatory Actions taken in advance of climate change effects Responsive The severity of impacts will depend on the capacity to adapt and its effective deployment Vulnerability and Adaptation Adaptation Baseline What is being done now to reduce the burden of disease? How effective are these policies and measures? What could be done now to reduce current vulnerability? What are the main barriers to implementation? What measures should begin to be implemented to increase the range of possible future interventions? Why Not Just React to Climate Change as It Happens? Long time frame and uncertainties with climate change make anticipating adaptation difficult There may be irreversible and catastrophic impacts that cannot be mitigated Opportunities to mitigate climate change impacts through anticipation may be missed Difficulty with AnticipatingClimate Change and its Impacts Direction Magnitude Timing Path Questions for Designing Adaptation Policies Measures Adaptation to what? What are the future projections for the outcome? Who is vulnerable? On scale relevant for adaptation Is additional intervention needed? Modifying existing prevention measures Reinstitute effective prevention programs that have been neglected or abandoned New risks Who adapts? How does adaptation occur? When should interventions be implemented? How good or likely is the adaptation? Remove Your Tie – Save the PlanetJapan Times 30 April 2005 Glacier Retreat:Tschierva Glacier, Engadine