基于多元统计的天津市各区县济状况评价毕业论文.docxVIP

毕业论文论文题目（中文）基于多元统计的天津市各区县经济状况评价论文题目（外文）The Economic Evaluation of Districts in Tianjin Based on Multivariate Statistical Analysis 摘 要区域经济发展水平的评价结果是政府评判地区目前的经济水平和制定相关政策的重要依据[]。多元统计分析（Multivariate statistical analysis）是目前主流的经典的区域经济评价方法，主要包括主成分分析（Principal Component Analysis，PCA）、因子分析（Factor Analysis）、聚类分析（Cluster analysis）和回归分析（Regression Analysis)。传统的区域经济评价方法一般只用某一种方法进行分析，但是由于每种方法的侧重点不同，得到的分析结果也可能不一致。因此不适合采用这种方案来制定区域经济发展政策。天津市是经济发达、治安良好、气候舒适、交通便利的一个超大城市。在2017年的最新统计数据中，天津也被评为“中国十大幸福城市”之一。但是与北上广深等特大城市相比，天津的经济发展还略逊一筹。在环境方面，也不如西藏、贵州等经济落后的省市。为了进一步创造价值，提高人民幸福感，有必要对天津市的各区县的经济状况进行深入研究，从而对政策的指定有着良好的指引作用[]。本文利用spss19.0软件，从地区基本情况、工农业发展状况、人民生活状况、社会发展状况和经济发展趋势诸多方面选取了18项经济指标，根据全面性、前瞻性、代表性、科学性、正确性、特色性等原则，构建了反映天津市各区县综合经济实力的评价指标体系[]。利用主成分分析、因子分析进行初步的统计，然后采用聚类分析进行进一步的总结，最后利用回归分析对区县的经济发展进行预测，从而制定合理的政策。关键词：区域经济评价；主成分分析；因子分析；聚类分析；回归分析AbstractEvaluation result of regional economic development level is an important basis for government to judge the present development level and make the strategies of the area. Multivariate statistical analysis is a quite popular and classical method to analysis the regional economic. Principal Component Analysis, Factor Analysis, Cluster analysis and Regression analysis are very useful. Multivariate statistical analysis usually employs only one method so the evaluation result is usually ex parte as well as different methods acquire inconsistent results. It is obviously to take a few methods at the same time to get a more objective outcome.Tianjin is an economically developed megacity behemoth. It has good order, wonderful weather and convenient transportation. It is awarded one of the ten happiest cities in China. It is slightly inferior than megalopolis in economic such as Beijing and Shanghai. And the environment is also worse than backward area such as Xizang and Guizhou. To create value and improve the happiness of people, it is essential to make an intensive study on economic of every district so that to make reasonable strategies.It employs SPSS to s