春运摩托车返乡潮交通安全问题的探索性分析-exploratory analysis on traffic safety of motorcycle returning home during spring festival.docxVIP

IIIAbstractThe tidal phenomenon of the Spring Festival return by motorcycle is emerging in China. Its severve riding environment and serious safety situation arouse wide social concern. The phenomenon has become a pressing new social problem remained to be solved. Study on stratigies to dissolve this phenomenon or downgrade its safety risks has special significance.The main content of the dissertation is as follows，This dissertation states the background ofthe research, the general situations of domestic and aboard studies on the topic, the main content of the research that the author are about to do and the research methodologies.Using the analysis method of transportation system engineering, using questionnaire survey, safe return paid contact card, Statistical network investigation, accident investigation and other means analysis of road traffic system in people, motorcycle, road three elements of interdependence,interaction,and influenced by the external environment, Coordination of system security depends on the three elements of the movement, when the system of the poor coordination, may lead to accidents or events. Therefore, motorcycle accident can be as failure of motorcycle traffic system. According to the principle of system divisibility, building the motorcycle traffic safety system of the basic elements and their mutual relationship model diagram. to analysis the risk source transport during the Spring Festival the motorcycle ride the tide. According to different sources of risk, are summarized and derived from the human - vehicle - Road - environmental and management five system elements: Cyclists security risk survey; Motorcycle safety risk investigation; Road safety riskinvestigation ； Security risk investigation of driving environment; Traffic safety riskmanagement survey.By returning the motorcycle accident data statistical analysis, from man - vehicle - road - environment and management, The accident types are divided into: Th