中国中部地区单位GDP能耗的时空分异与影响因素.DOC

中国中部地区单位GDP能耗的时空分异与影响因素摘要:基于中部地区单位GDP能耗数据，采用变异系数、泰尔指数、莫兰指数及系统分析等分析方法，在ArcMap和GeoDa等相关软件的支持下，对中部地区各省、市的单位GDP能耗的时空特征进行了分析，并从产业结构、信息化水平、区域开放性、城镇化水平及区域科技条件等方面分析其影响因素，提出降耗措施。具体发现：时序上，中部地区单位GDP能耗区域差异性较大，总体差异性趋于缩小。空间上，低、较低单位GDP能耗区数量十年来急剧增长，且在中部地区大范围集聚分布；高、较高单位GDP能耗区主要分布在山西北部、河南北部、安徽中部、湖北东部以及湖南省和江西省交界线处。空间关联类型，显著LL区逐渐向河南省的信阳市、安徽省的阜阳市、湖南怀化市和江西抚州市等附近集聚；显著HH区则只有芜湖市。影响因素方面，提高城镇化水平、信息化水平以及加强区域开放性、大力发展高新技术产业等均能有效降低能耗，当前中部地区产业结构（二三产业比重）明显提高了经济能耗。最终，结合单位GDP能耗特征和影响因素，从政策、法律、节能技术、产业结构及能源开发等方面提出了降低经济能耗措施。关键字：中部地区；单位GDP能耗；时空差异；影响因素Spatio-temporal Differentiation and Its Influencing Factors of Per unit of GDP Energy Consumption in Central ChinaAbstract: Based on the energy consumption per unit of GDP in the Central Region, using the analysis methods of coefficient of variation, Theil index, Moran index and system analysis, with the support of related softwares such as ArcMap and GeoDa, this paper gives an analysis on the temporal and spatial characteristics of the energy consumption per unit of GDP in the Central Region, and analyzes the influencing factors from the aspects of industrial structure, informatization level, regional openness, urbanization level and regional science and technology conditions, then puts forward some measures for reducing consumption. The results show that, in terms of time series, the regional energy consumption per unit of GDP in the central region is quite different and the overall disparity tends to decrease. As for the spatial analysis, the numbers of areas that has low and lower energy consumption per unit of GDP sharply increased over the past decade, and the areas distribute in a large area of central agglomeration; the areas of high and higher energy consumption per unit of GDP mainly distribute in northern Shanxi, northern Henan, central Anhui, eastern Hubei as well as at the junction of Hunan Province and Jiangxi Province. Spatial interaction types gradually gather to Xinyang City of Henan Province, Fuyang City of Anhui Province, Huaihua City of Hu