铁路货运定价模型研究与系统实现-research and system implementation of railway freight pricing model.docxVIP

北京交通大学专业硕士学位论文 北京交通大学专业硕士学位论文 A B S T R A C T ii万方数据 ii 万方数据 ABSTRACT ABSTRACT: With the continuous development of other transportation modes, the competition in the freight market is increasingly fierce, so fright price adjusted by market has become increasingly important. Bue the contradictions between stability of uniform pricing of rail transport price and its flexibility requirements are increasingly protruding. Therefore, based on the economic attributes and characteristics of rail transport, developing scientific and rational, and which enables enterprises to adapt to market competition’s transport price is an important issue. Through analysis and research on the status of the railway freight market, the paper divided customers’ demand into short-term demand and long-term demand, and then proposed short-term demand pricing model and long-term demand pricing model. Firstly, through analysis and comparison the actual spot market demand for transport and the transport demand forecast, the paper proposed short-term demand pricing model which pricing for short-term demand. Mathematical analysis shows that the model has a maximum value, so optimal price which makes rail transport companies’ revenue maximum can be solved. Secondly, introduce the options theory into rail freight trading, and then prosed long-term demand pricing model. On the basis of the relevant research, the two-variable optimization problem is reduced to a single-variable optimization problem. Then, assuming that the spot market price follows uniform distribution and normal distribution, on this basis, gives a method for solving optimal pricing strategy for railway transport companies. In addition, select H Railway Bureau for example, analysis the impact factors in the model to optimal price according to real data and actual condition of H Railway Bureau, the result shows the factors on the optimal price’s law is consistent with the actual law, therefore, the optimal tariff obtained by these mod