美孚能源行业-2040年展望.pdf

2012 The Outlook for Energy: A View to 2040 Contents Global fundamentals 4 Residential/commercial 10 Transportation 16 Industrial 22 Electricity generation 26 Emissions 32 Supply and technology 36 Conclusion 48 Data/glossary 49 This presentation includes forward-looking statements. Actual future conditions (including economic conditions, energy demand, and energy supply) could differ materially due to changes in technology, the development of new supply sources, political events, demographic changes, and other factors discussed herein and under the heading “Factors Affecting Future Results” in the Investors section of our website at: . The information provided includes ExxonMobil’s internal estimates and forecasts based upon internal data and analyses as well as publicly available information from external sources including the International Energy Agency. This material is not to be used or reproduced without the permission of Exxon Mobil Corporation. All rights reserved. /energyoutlook The Outlook for Energy: A View to 2040 Welcome to The Outlook for Energy, ExxonMobil’s long-term view of the world’s energy future. With this edition, we have expanded the Outlook to the year 2040 for the first time. What do we see over the next 30 years? The answer to that question varies by region, reflecting diverse economic and demographic trends as well as the evolution of technology and government policies. Everywhere, though, we see energy being used more efficiently and