消防专业论文-商场火灾风险评估方法研究.docVIP

PAGE I 摘　要 随着经济社会的快速发展，人民生活水平的不断提高，消费能力的日益增强，商场的建设发展步伐越来越快、数量越来越多，规模越来越大。所以，近年来商场的火灾有大幅度的增加，已经成为我国火灾发生率比较高的场所的之一。商场火灾不仅造成重大的人员伤亡和财产损失，而且还会产生严重的社会影响。因此对商场进行火灾风险评估具有重要的意义。 本文结合近年来发生的典型商场火灾案例，在对引起商场火灾危险因素充分分析的基础上，根据商场火灾的特点，并基于消防安全的思想，并根据有关标准和规范，从商场的自身状况、商场的防火结构与布局、火源控制、消防设备、人员疏散、消防管理等几方面建立了火灾风险评估指标体系，通过层次分析法，计算得出各指标的权重。并给出了商场火灾风险评估的数学模型，最后应用于实例分析，得出商场火灾风险指数。 关键词：风险评估；商场火灾风险；层次分析法；指标体系；权重 Abstract With the rapid economic and social development, the rising living standards, increasing consumption capacity, commercial building faster and faster of development, increasing number of shopping malls. Therefore, in recent years, Shopping Centre have substantial increase in the fire, has become a relatively high rate of fire, one of the place. Shopping Centre fire not only caused great casualties and property losses, but also have serious social implications. Therefore, the market on fire risk assessment is of great significance. In this article, the typical Shopping Centre fire in recent years, cases, the risk factors that give rise to Shopping Mall Fire on a full basis of the analysis, according to the characteristics of Shopping Mall Fire and due to fire safety considerations ,from the Shopping Centre s situation; the fire structure and layout of shopping malls; fire control; fire fighting equipment, evacuation, fire management areas to establish a fire risk assessment index system; and in accordance with relevant standards and specification, and hierarchical , the results obtained the weights by AHP. And proposed mall fire risk assessment of mathematical models ,used in case analysis. Keywords: risk assessment; mall fire risk; AHP; index system; weight 目 录 TOC \o 1-4 \h \z \u HYPERLINK \l _Toc262079146 中文摘要 PAGEREF _Toc262079146 \h I HYPERLINK \l _Toc262079147 英文摘要 PAGEREF _Toc262079147 \h II HYPERLINK \l _Toc262079148 目 录 PAGEREF _Toc262079148 \h III HYPERLINK \l _Toc262079149 1 引言 PAGEREF _Toc262079149 \h 1 HYPERLINK \l _Toc262079150 1.1 研究背景和意义 PAGEREF _T