基于低频水质采样估算滇池宝象河的长期水质趋势和污染通量.pdfVIP

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基于低频水质采样估算滇池宝象河的长期水质趋势和污染通量.pdf

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北京大学学报 ( 自然科学版) 第 53 卷第 2 期 2017 年 3 月 Acta Scientiarum Naturalium Universitatis Pekinensis, Vol. 53, No. 2 (Mar. 2017) doi: 10.13209/j.0479-8023.2017.019 Estimation of Long-Term Trends and Loads with Low-Frequency Water Quality Sampling in the Baoxiang River, One Tributary to Dianchi Lake LI Na1,†, GUO Huaicheng2 1. Chinese Society for Urban Studies, Beijing 100835; 2. College of Environmental Sciences and Engineering, Peking University, Beijing 100871; † E-mail: lina2006@ Abstract Studies of water quality trends and pollutant loads in the Baoxiang River, a tributary to Dianchi Lake were limited by the lack of consistent data. This study evaluated long-term trends and loads using ESTREND and LOADEST with water quality data collected with low-frequency sampling and continuous daily flow data calculated by Muskingum method. Significantly increasing trends in nutrient (NH3-N, TN, and TP) concentrations were detected at the 0.05 probability level. TSS concentration showed a significant decreasing trend of 12.34 percent per year. The similar results of unadjusted and flow-adjusted concentration indicated that these trends were caused by variation in pollutant emission rather than in river discharge. Regression models within LOADEST performed very well. Most of pollutants great loaded in the wet season in comparison to the dry and normal season, due to increased transports of nonpoint source pollution. The results indicate that it is the effective way to evaluation for low-frequency sampling, and methodology can be used in other watersheds. Key words trend analysis; load estimation; seasonal Kendall; regression model; Baoxiang River 基于低频水质采样估算滇池宝象河的长期水质趋势和污染通量