巴罗宏观经济学现代观点1章.pptVIP

Macroeconomics Chapter 1 中级宏观经济学 沈凌 上海财经大学经济学院 /teacherweb/users/shenling/ 中级宏观经济学 答疑时间： 周三下午2：00－5：00，如需其他时 间，请先预约。 答疑地点： 经济学院楼524室 电话： Email: ling.shen@ 助教： 车大为 dwche@ 教科书： Robert Barro: Macroeconomics -- A Modern Approach Others： G. Mankiw: Macroeconomics 评分及进度 评分： 作业及平时课堂回答问题: 30% 期中考试 : 30% 期末考试 : 40% 进度： 基本每周一章。 What can we learn from this course? Macro Output, Unemployment, and Prices in U.S. History Output, Unemployment, and Prices in U.S. History Growth rate of real GDP for year t Multiply by 100 to get the growth rate of real GDP in percent per year. Output, Unemployment, and Prices in U.S. History Output, Unemployment, and Prices in U.S. History Output, Unemployment, and Prices in U.S. History Output, Unemployment, and Prices in U.S. History Inflation rate for year t Output, Unemployment, and Prices in U.S. History A Brief Introduction of Chinese Success (All data without special notes are from Chinese Statistical Yearbook) Nominal 1978: 2005: GDP 364.5 Billion RMB 18308 Billion RMB GDP p.c. 381 Yuan RMB 14040 Yuan RMB Real GDP Growth rate ( in RMB ) Who enjoys ? Poverty level: 100 yuan p.c. in 1978 250 Million 625 yuan p.c. in 2000 32 Million In general, Gini coefficient of the income increases since 1985. 如何去理解我们这个世界？ 亚里士多德的观察： 鸡毛下落速度远慢于铁球 伽利略的实验： 两个铁球同时落地 如何去理解我们这个世界？ 实验的条件是什么？ 忽略空气浮力 模型与假设 Economic Models Endogenous variables are the ones that we want the model to explain. Exogenous variables are the ones that a model takes as given and does not attempt to explain. Economic Models Economic ModelsThe Coffee Market 目标 我们想去了解咖啡价格的决定因素。 什么因素促使咖啡价格上升？ ---买的人多了 ---西方文化的流行 ---咖啡对身体健康作用的发现 Economic ModelsThe Coffee Market Economic ModelsThe Coffee Market Economic ModelsThe Coffee Market Ec