JasonSweig演示资你料货币和心理英文.pptVIP

* Normal people will sample sequentially, then randomly, from all four decks, looking for patterns. Decks A B have higher initial payoffs than decks C D, by about 2 to 1 on average. But some cards in every deck trigger a second-order loss after the gain, and these losses are much higher in decks A B. After about 30 trials, normal subjects will move to decks C D and stay there. But the VMF patients prefer A B, fixated on the higher short-term rewards -- and they go bankrupt every time. They stay away for one or two turns after a high penalty, but keep coming back until they go bust. * E