风险管架理软件crystalball使用指导.docVIP

Iso19011@126.com Page PAGE 1 Crystal Ball Monte-Carlo Simulation with Crystal Ball? To run a simulation using Crystal Ball?: 1. Setup Spreadsheet Build a spreadsheet that will calculate the performance measure (e.g., profit) in terms of the inputs (random or not). For random inputs, just enter any number. 2. Define Assumptions—i.e., random variables Define which cells are random, and what distribution they should follow. 3. Define Forecast—i.e., output or performance measure Define which cell(s) you are interested in forecasting (typically the performance measure, e.g., profit). 4. Choose