基于Kalman滤波的大坝监控统计模型研究-农业水土工程专业论文.docxVIP

AbstraetTitle：STUDY Abstraet Title：STUDY 0N DAM MONlTORING SWlSTIC MODEL BASED ON KAl MAN只￡lTERlNG Major：Agricultural water and Soil Engineering Name：Jlng Hu Signature：臼生j￡呱 Supervisor：Associate prof。Zhllu Li Signature：厶：五矗‘=幺 Ab甜ract h order to meet the requirement of dam safety monitorin岛according to previous statistic melhod and focus on the defects of least square regression statistic theory,that is it needs large numbers of observation datum，model’s precision is not great and矗can’t real-time observe，the statistic models for dam monitoring were put forward in the dissertation based on Kalman filtering．wavelet and BP neural network．弧e COlrectness and feasibility of the models were validated through the engineering practice． The contents and major results are as follows： (1)This paper reviewed previous statistic method’and compared with these methods and found out respective merits and faults． (2)Based on Kalman filter theory,the Kalman filtering regression statistic model was bum．Set up state equation and observation equation based on statistic model，which transformed least square estirnation to Kalman filtering．state estimation．It was shown by smdy that this model provided a recursion solution for estimation with the Kalman filter,which can simplify the modeling process as on—line refreshing state conveniently through the previous time state value and present measure value，so it was a new efficient on-line modeling method． It was shown by comparison between actual project data and modeling results that the structure of Kahnan filtering statistic model was stable when the parameters were chose within reasonable extent．Similarly,the change of model regression coefficient also can used in evaluation of dam safety state． (3)As a result of the instrument failure and other complex factor,the dam measured data often appear the singular value and much noise。Sometimes the useful information even can be submerged by the noise。In vi