气候变异引致降雨强度改变下未饱和边坡信赖度之-中国鑛冶工程学会.PDF

氣候變異引致降雨強度改變下未飽和邊坡 信賴度之評估* Reliability Analysis of Unsaturated Slope Stability Due to Precipitation Variation 1 2 3 K.L. Shen, H.F. Yeh, C.H. Lee The precipitation variation can potentially alter the stability of unsaturated slopes. The stability of the unsaturated slope decreased with the rainfall infiltration . There are numerous parameters that need to be analyzed to assess the unsaturated slope stability. In this study, we used a reliability analysis to assess the stability of unsaturated slopes. The reliability index numerical software Geo-Studio was used to simulate rainfall infiltration in the unsaturated soil. Two cases were simulated to determine the important parameters that affected the unsaturated slopes. The first case, we selected a fixed rainfall intensity, I = 7.0 10-5 m/s, and two hydraulic conductivities, k = 2.15 10-4 s m/s and k = 2.15 10-5 m/s. The second case, we s selected a fixed hydraulic conductivity, k = 1.0 10-6 s m/s, and two rainfall intensities, I = 1.1 10-6 m/s and I = 8.3 10-7 m/s. The finite element method and limit equilibrium method are used to simulate rainfall infiltration of different rainfall patterns and calculate the reliability index with time