《基于支持向量机的快速路小时交通量预测论文》-毕业论文设计（可用）.docVIP

五邑大学本科毕业设计 PAGE \* MERGEFORMAT PAGE \* MERGEFORMAT I 摘 要 快速路交通量具有复杂性和不确定性，对交通量的准确预测是实现智能交通诱导和控制的基础。智能交通能解决道路交通拥堵，减少交通事故，减少大气污染等现实难题，是我国道路交通发展的方向。充分考虑到快速路交通量所具有的非线性，时变性和随机性，提出将支持向量机回归算法应用到快速路小时交通量预测中。根据我国交通情况，利用广州某快速路小时交通量数据，进行快速路小时交通量预测。仿真研究结果表明，支持向量机泛化能力好，学习速度快，在快速路小时交通量预测中起着重要作用。 关键词：小时交通量；交通量预测；支持向量机回归；仿真研究 PAGE PAGE II Abstract Expressway traffic flow has the complexity and uncertainty, the accurate traffic flow forecasting is the foundation to realize intelligent traffic guidance to control. Intelligent transportation can solve traffic congestion, reduce traffic accidents, reduce the realistic problems such as air pollution, is the direction of our country road traffic development. The expressway traffic flow is nonlinear, time-varying and randomness, the support vector machine (SVM) regression algorithm was applied to expressway hours in traffic flow prediction. According to the traffic situation in our country, use the one of Guangzhou’s expressways traffic flow data to forecast an hour expressway traffic flow. Simulation results show that the generalization and learning ability of support vector machine (SVM) is well, hours in expressway traffic flow forecasting plays an important role. Keywords: hourly traffic volume; traffic flow forecasting; support vector machine regression; simulation research  目 录 TOC \o 1-3 \h \u HYPERLINK \l _Toc357988106 摘 要 PAGEREF _Toc357988106 \h I HYPERLINK \l _Toc357988107 Abstract PAGEREF _Toc357988107 \h II HYPERLINK \l _Toc357988109 第1章 绪论 PAGEREF _Toc357988109 \h 1 HYPERLINK \l _Toc357988110 1.1 课题背景 PAGEREF _Toc357988110 \h 1 HYPERLINK \l _Toc357988111 1.2研究目的和意义 PAGEREF _Toc357988111 \h 2 HYPERLINK \l _Toc357988112 1.3 国内外文献综述 PAGEREF _Toc357988112 \h 2 HYPERLINK \l _Toc357988113 1.4 本论文主要内容 PAGEREF _Toc357988113 \h 3 HYPERLINK \l _Toc357988114 第2章 支持向量机理论 PAGEREF _Toc357988114 \h 5 HYPERLINK \l _Toc357988115 2.1 支持向量机概述 PAGEREF _Toc357988115 \h 5 HYPERLINK \l _Toc357988116 2.2 支持向量机回归