北疆近气象干旱时空演变特征生态学专业论文.docxVIP

Spatiotemporal Spatiotemporal Variation of Meteorological Drought in North Xinjiang Province from 1 961 to 2012 Abstract Variation of drought have significant influence agricultural development and ecological security in arid and semi—arid region of Northweast China．The spatiotemporal variation and the driving force of drought were investigated based meteorological data(temperature，precipitation，relative humid， sunshine hours，and et al。)and trend analysis，wavelet analysis，ensemble empirical mode decomposition． The results follow： (1)The comlex meteorological drought composite index(CI)can adequately characterize variation of drought in North Xinj iang Province(NX)based comparatively analysis between calculation results and historical datasets，which not only reflected by robust ability of drought detection and lower rate，but also confirmed by strong sensitivity to variation ofprecipitation． (2)The drought coverage and frequency experienced decreasing trend,the drought intensity presented weaking trend from 1 96 1 to 20 1 2．Morever,the drought coverage area,frequency and intensity have multiscale periods(inter—decadal and inter—annual variation)and abrupt change(maily happened in 1 980s and early 1 990s)，which indicated the multiscale characteristics ofought in NX．Dought is worst in summer,serious in spring and autumn，light in winter．However，the decreasing trend exhibited most significant in winter． For spatial variation，drought was light in northwest region and serious in southeast of NX．Under the condition of climate change，drought gradually became light during tha past 52 years，especially exhibited more significant in south central region of NX．Nevertheless，a noticeable point is that extreme drought happened frequently． (3)The increasing trend oftemperature and precipitation and the decreasing trend of evapotranspiration have humidifying effect the light trend of drought in the study region．The Arctic Oscillation and Southern Oscillation Index have significant ant