足球比赛控球率对比赛胜负影响的相关性研究.doc

济南大学毕业设计 2 - 1 - 1 - PAGE \* MERGEFORMAT PAGE \* MERGEFORMAT 毕业论文 题 目 足球比赛控球率对比赛 胜负影响的相关性研究 学 院 体育学院 专 业 体育教育 班 级 体育1103 学 生 魏冬 学 号 20111301106 指导教师 田庄 二〇一五年五月九日 济南大学毕业论文 摘 要 随着足球运动的的迅速发展，出现了许多新战术、新打法，具有代表性的以追求控球率的快速倒脚来组织进攻并控制进攻节奏和不追求控球率的简单单一的一箭穿心式的防守反击，这两种打法的碰撞尤为强烈，而两种打法的侧重点最大的不同就是对控球率的追求，当前足球比赛中控球率对比赛胜负关系尚未被证实，为了探讨足球比赛中控球率对比赛胜负的相关性，对2014年巴西世界杯足球赛具有代表性的球队比赛的控球率和欧洲冠军杯经典战役球队控球率进行了分析统计并对进球数、射门次数和射正次数等数据进行分析。结果显示控球率除了对射门次数具有相关性外对比赛胜负关系并没有相关性。建议不要盲目追求控球率。 关键词：足球比赛；控球率；胜负关系 ABSTRACT With the rapid development of football, and there have been many new tactics, new play representative in pursuit of quick Daojiao Possession to organize and control the offensive tempo offense and not the pursuit of Possession simple single stone feedthrough defensive back, the collision of these two play a particularly strong, and the two play the biggest difference is the focus on the pursuit of Possession, Possession current soccer match relationship between the outcome of the game has not yet been confirmed that, in order to investigate the football game on the game-winning possession rate correlation, the use of literature, interviews, video observation, analysis and mathematical statistics in 2014 Brazil World Cup team representative and Possession outcome of the game, the European Cup classic battle of teams with the game-winning ball rate, and the number of goals, shots and radio frequency of the data being analyzed. The results show that in addition to the number of shots Possession relevant external relations and the outcome of the game there is no correlation. Recommended not to blindly pursue Possession. Key words：Football game；Possession；Outcome relationship 目 录 TOC \o 1-3 \h \u HYPERLINK \l _Toc25442 摘要 PAGEREF _Toc25442 I HYPERLINK \l _Toc15861 ABSTRACT PAGEREF _Toc15861 I