城市污水再生回用系统分析及模拟预测环境工程专业论文.docxVIP

摘要关系式；给出了模型中有关参数的计算方法，如万元产值用水量灰色系统GM(1，1)预测 摘要 关系式；给出了模型中有关参数的计算方法，如万元产值用水量灰色系统GM(1，1)预测 模型、用户接受程度的权重值计算方法等；并对直观检验、运行检验、灵敏度分析等模型有 效性检验方法应用于该SD模型作了分析。 ④将SD模型用于西宁市的污水回用规划中，对西宁污水再生回用系统的发展趋势进 行了中、长期预测。模型运行结果良好，说明了模型具有实用性。通过不同方案的运行结果 比较，论文给出了西宁市污水再生回用的推荐方案。此方案预测结果，到2020年西宁城市 GDP为434亿元，工业产值为861亿元，污水二级处理率为78％，污水回用率为51％，再 生水回用量为9634万m3。利用再生水后，城市缺水状况得以缓解，节约了淡水资源，促进 了城市的经济发展。论文还讨论了用户接受程度对系统的影响，表明污水回用需要公众的支 持和鼓励。最后论文指出西宁污水处理和回用工程的建设应该与城市经济协调发展，有一个 循序渐进的过程。城市污水再生回用系统SD模型具有通用性，通过适当调整输入参数即能 用于其它城市的污水回用规划中。 关键词：城市污水，再生回用，系统动力学模型，系统分析，再生水，西部干旱地区 论文类型：应用基础 ’本文研究得到国家自然科学基金重点项目资助(No，特此感谢。 n 西安建筑科技大学博士学位论文System 西安建筑科技大学博士学位论文 System Analysis，Simulation and Prediction on Municipal Wastewater Reclamation and I沁use Speciality：Environmental Engineering Author：Li Mei Advisor：Prof．Huang Tinglin The shortage of water resource,which is threaterlillg the survival and development of human beings and restricting our national economy growing，has become one of the most notable issues affecting social economy sustainable development．So it is a very important task to find a reasonable, feasible and effective way to solve water resource scarcity．As all effective solutiollreclamation and reuse ofwastewater has drawn more and more attention ofalmost an countries m the world．Basing on the“Study on the Recycling and Reuse ofWater Resource for the Arid and Water-deficient Area in Wegem China’，one of the key project of the National Science Foundation of China,a System Dynamics(SD)approach is adopted in the research ofthe municipal wastewater recycling and reuse system which is a complex syStem relating to many areas such as society,economy,resource， environment and SO on． Main Contents and results ofthe paper ale as the following． ①on me basis of water resollree value theory,the value theory and the pace model of reclaimed water resource are discussed．The price of reclaimed water resource is not only an important factor affecting the reuse of water but also a 1igament of entering the water market