基于改进粒子群的中长期径流预报研究-水利水电工程专业论文.docxVIP

II II Abstract Mid-long runoff forecast is an advantage measure and important step of full using water resource implementing reservoir optimal and completing economic benefit, also plays an important role in flood control and drought relief, reservoir operation, water resources planning and management. However, because hydrology state changing is effected by many kinds of uncertainty factor (for example, climate change, human activity and physiognomy change), the rule is not completely clear and hydrology information is not sufficiency, which takes on random、blur and gray and so on. So that fo