建筑承包商施工风险分析与评价-建筑与土木工程专业论文.docxVIP

建筑承包商施工风险分析与评价摘要 建筑承包商施工风险分析与评价 摘要 建筑工程具有投资大、周期长、施工难度大、技术复杂、工程参与方多以及 受环境因素干扰多等特点，在建设过程中不可预见的因素较多，所以建筑工程项 目是～个高风险的过程，如不加以防范，很可能会影响工程建设的顺利进行，甚 至酿成严重后果。建筑施工企业除承担上述必然风险外，还要承担我国特殊环境 和工程建筑企业被动经济地位所带来的各种人为风险，因此迫切需要加强风险管 理。 本文以国内建筑工程项目风险管理现状为背景，对现有风险管理内容进行梳 理。借鉴国内外有关的研究方法和途径，综合前人研究成果，结合作者多年施工 现场管理经验，并在大量的数据采集及实地调研的基础上，将复杂的项目风险沿 着施工项目管理的路线分解为简单易断的风险因素。站在施工承包商角度，构建 了一个新型的建筑施工项目风险评价指标体系。应用AHP法和模糊综合评判法， 对某一房地产开发住宅小区工程进行了实例风险分析评价。为了增强可参考性和 可操作性，本论文采用了表上作业法，并罗列了主要计算过程及数据。 希望本文提出的建筑施工项目风险分析及评价模型能够对当前建筑施工企 业项目风险管理实践起到一定的借鉴作用。 [关键词]建筑工程项目 风险分析评价AHP模糊综合评判 建筑承包商施工风险分析与评价ABSTRACT 建筑承包商施工风险分析与评价 ABSTRACT Construction is a project with high risks because it is characterized by large investment．10ng time of difficult building work，and complex techniques．In addition， it involves a variety ofpeople and is easily affected by the environment．What’S more， various potential problems are unpredictable．If it isn’t closely guarded in the process of construction,serious aftermaths will be expected to Occur．In addition to the risks mentioned above，the risk management is necessary to be reinforced because the construction enterprises have to undertake various artificial risks，which may be caused by the passive economy position of special environment and project construction enterprises This thesis tries to comb through the ways ofthe present risk management based on the current ones in national construction projects．The author divides the complex risks into simple ones along wim the projcot construction routes with reference to international research methods，forebears’research achievements，his OWn working experiences，collected data and investigation on spot，．thus，a modern evaluation index system for construction project is established from the point of contracting unit． Moreover，by means of AHP and vague judgment by synthesis，the author analyses a residence district，which Was developed by some estate agent．For the convenience of others’reference and operation，the author also tells the whole calculati