国家间收入差距演进轨迹与启示.docxVIP

国家间收入差距演进轨迹与启示 李建伟王勇 国务院发展研究中心公共管理与人力资源研究所工 业和信息化部电子第五研究所 摘要： 1960年以來，世界收入差距以2000年为拐点呈倒U型发展，但不同收入水平、 不同区域国家之间相对收入差距分化明显，全球财富收入两极分化趋势日趋严 重。2000年以前世界收入差距的扩大，主要是由三次世界产业转移引致的发达 国家与东亚地区经济相对快速发展引致的。2000年以后世界收入差距的大幅度 缩小，主要是由发达国家与发展中国家技术差距缩小、国际贸易格局转变以及人 口老龄化对发达国家经济增长产生的负面影响加大等多方面因素共同决定的。未 来世界收入差距仍存在不断缩小的内在趋势，但逆全球化因素也可能导致收入 差距再度扩大。我国应通过推进合作共赢、改革和完善国际经贸合作发展战略和 管理体制，积极应对未来国家收入格局转变带来的新挑战。 关键词： 中国与全球化;收入差距;全球经济治理; The Evolution History of the Income Disparity among Countries and Its Enlightenment Li Jianwei Wang Yong Abstract： Since 1960, the world s in come gap has been inver ted U-shaped with 2000 as its infleetion point. However, the differentiation of income gap between countries in different income levels and between countries in different regions has been obvious. The polarization of global wealth income is worsening. The increase of the income gap in the world before 2000 was mainly caused by the relatively rapid economic development in the developed countries and Eastern Asia, which was caused by the three times world industrial transfer. The drastic reduction in the world in come gap after 2000 is meiinly determined by a combirmtion of factors such as the narrowing of the tcchnological gap between developed and developing countries, the changing pattern of international trade and the increasing negative impact of population aging on the economic growth of developed countries. In the future, the income gap in our world still has an inherent tendency of shr in king. However, count er-globaliza tion may also cause the in come gap to wid cn again. Actively respond to the new challc nges brough t about by the change in the world income gap in the future, China should, China should promote the win-win cooperation between countries, reform and improve the development strategy and management system of international economic and trade cooperation. Keyword： Chind and globalizetion; income disparity; global cconomic governance; 从经济循环发展角度看，收入分配既是经济增长的结果，又是决定未来经济增 长的关键因素。在经济全球化不断深化