基于时间序列分解的gps卫星钟差预报资料.pdf

DOI ：CNKI:11-4415/P0938.010 网络出版时间：2010-11-11 9:38 网络出版地址：/kcms/detail/11.4415.p0938.010.html 450052 72946 255000 ARMA(Autoregressive Moving Average)IGS(International GPS Service for Geodynamic) ARMA ; ARMA P228.4 GPS satellite clock error predicting based on ARMA analysis Abstract: According to the benefits of quadratic polynomials and the Gray model in prediction of satellite clock error, this paper proposed to improve it with ARMA (Autoregressive Moving Average) model. To decompose the precise GPS clock error provided by the IGS (International GPS Service for Geodynamic), the trend item was fit in accordance with quadratic polynomial model and the Gray model whose difference lies only in the length of time, and the random item was simulated by ARMA model. At last, in the short-term and long-term GPS clock error forecasts with ARMA, good results were achieved. Key words: precise clock error; time series analysis; ARMA CHEN Zheng-sheng①, LV Zhi-ping ①, ZHANG Qing-hua①, WANG Peng①② (①Institute of Surveying and Mapping, Information Engineering University, Zhengzhou 450052, China; ②72946 Troops, Zibo 255000, China) GPS [12] IGS 0.1ns 13d [3]