中英文双语毕业设计外文文献翻译成品：一种基于ARIMA、灰色模型和BPNN模型对CPI进行预测的新型分治模型.docx

此文档是毕业设计外文翻译成品（ 含英文原文+中文翻译），无需调整复杂的格式！下载之后直接可用，方便快捷！本文价格不贵,也就几十块钱！ 外文标题：A Novel Divide-and-Conquer Model for CPI Prediction Using ARIMA, Gray Model and BPNN 外文作者：Joseph Aiden，Zavier Robot 文献出处:?Procedia Computer Science .2014.31:842-851 英文3890单词，20217字符，中文6398汉字。 A Novel Divide-and-Conquer Model for CPI Prediction Using ARIMA, Gray Model and BPNN Yudie Du, Yue Cai, Mingxin Chen, Wei Xu*, Hui Yuan, Tao Li Abstract:This paper proposes a novel divide-and-conquer model for CPI prediction with the existing compilation method of the Consumer Price Index (CPI) in China. Historical national CPI time series is preliminary divided into eight sub-indexes including food, articles for smoking and drinking, clothing, household facilities, articles and maintenance services, health care and personal articles, transportation and communication, recreation, education and culture articles and services, and residence. Three models including back propagation neural network (BPNN) model, grey forecasting model (GM (1, 1)) and autoregressive integrated moving average (ARIMA) model are established to predict each sub-index, respectively. Then the best predicting result among the three models’ for each sub-index is identified. To further improve the performance, special modification in predicting method is done to sub-CPIs whose forecasting results are not satisfying enough. After improvement and error adjustment, we get the advanced predicting results of the sub-CPIs. Eventually, the best predicting results of each sub-index are integrated to form the forecasting results of the national CPI. Empirical analysis demonstrates that the accuracy and stability of the introduced method in this paper is better than many commonly adopted forecasting methods, which indicates the proposed method is an effective and alternative one for national CPI prediction in China. 1.Introduction The Consumer Price Index (CPI) is a widely used measurement of cost of living. It not only affects the government monet