几类温贮备系统可靠性分析-运筹学与控制论专业论文.docxVIP

万方数据 万方数据 摘 要 摘 要 从二十世纪三十年代开始至今，大量的学者对系统特别是贮备系统的可 靠性进行了大量的研究，并取得了许多研究成果。对于工程实际中广泛存在 的温贮备系统，本文先讨论了几类温贮备系统，然后对泊松冲击下的这几类 温贮备系统进行讨论。 第一类是单部件混合贮备可修复系统。在一系列模型假设后，运用 Markov 过程理论数学工具研究一个修理工的单部件混合贮备系统。得出系统的可用 度的 Laplace 变换式及稳态故障频度 M。 第二类是带两温贮备部件的三部件串联可修系统。本系统是由三个部件 串联而成，其中有两个部件分别带有一个温贮备部件。在这章我们假设部件 故障后维修时间和部件内部寿命服从连续负指数分布。利用 Markov 理论得出 系统可靠性指标的一般表达式，如可用度 A，稳态故障频度 M。 第三类五部件环形温贮备可修系统。在本系统中，这五部件是环形连接， 其中一个部件带一温贮备部件。论文的最后一部分将讨论系统扩展到环形， 系统故障当且仅当两个或两个以上连续部件发生故障，得到相关可靠性指标。 三类系统都是先讨论了简单的贮备系统，然后拓展到相应的泊松冲击下 的系统。根据假设三类系统均属于 Markov 可修复系统，那么根据 Markov 理 论的知识，得到它们的转移概率和转移率矩阵。再利用 Laplace 变换就得到了 系统的一系列可靠性指标，如可靠度，首次故障前平均时间，稳态故障频度 等，并对三种在泊松冲击下的系统稳态故障频度做了关于其中某个参数的灵 敏度分析，得出了可靠度指标与该参数的变化规律。 关键词：可靠性指标；泊松冲击波；温贮备；Markov；数值分析 II ABS ABSTRACT ABSTRACT Reliability theory research has attracted a lot of scholars, there has been a large number of papers and research achievements about it ever since 1830s. However previous researches basically are aimed at system consists of cold standby system, for the warm standby system especially the warm standby system attacked by poisson shocks are extremely rare. By using the theory of Markov process theory, judging by the basis of the former Scholars and their researches, three types of the warm standby system with standby components and perfect switches are analyzed. The first system is the mixed standby system with two standby parts. Building the model in order to make discussion easy, and a series of reasonable assumptions are put forward based on the model, such as switch instantaneous, all variables are independent to each other, parts are new after repairing. According to the assumptions of the system, all possible states are listed, then we get the transfer probability and the rate about its change matrix. Again, according to the Markov process theory , a series of equations are put forward. By using Laplace transform and inversing Laplace transform , the system reliability and some other reliability indices are calculated. The second system is three warm