甘肃粮食生产波动的影响因素与对策.PDFVIP

第30 卷第3 期 农业现代化研究 灾燥造援30 晕燥援3 园园9 年5 月 砸耘杂耘粤砸悦匀 韵云 粤郧砸陨悦哉蕴栽哉砸粤蕴 酝韵阅耘砸晕陨在粤栽陨韵晕 May援 园园9 肃省粮食生产波动的影响因素与对策 1 2 1 段小红 王化俊 耿小娟 渊 1.甘肃农业大学经济管理学院 肃 兰州 730070 曰2.甘肃省作物遗传改良与种质资源创新重点实验室, 肃 兰州 730070冤 摘要院为寻求粮食安全生产的基本对策 本文根据 1978- 2007 年 肃省粮食生产的相关资料 运用环比增长率法 分析了粮食生产波动的特征是院古典型波动尧波动频繁尧波动幅度较大曰运用生产函数法确定了影响粮食产量 要 因素是院粮食播种面积尧受灾面积尧有效灌溉面积尧农业机械总动力尧粮食价格曰并结合甘肃省粮食生产的实际情况 提出了稳定粮食生产的基本对策 要是院加强农业技术应用与推广尧完善粮食补贴政策和加强农业基础设施建设遥 关键词院粮食生产曰波动曰影响因素曰 肃省 中图分类号院F326.11 文献标识码院A 文章编号院1000-0275(2009)03-0280-04 Influential Factors and Countermeasures of Grain Production Fluctuation in Gansu Province DUAN Xiao-hong1 WANG Hua-j un2 GENG Xiao-j uan1 渊 1.Economy and Management College Gansu Agricultural University, Lanzhou,Gansu 730070 China 曰 2. Gansu Key Lab of Crop Improvement and Germplasm Enhancement , Lanzhou , Gansu 730070 , China冤 Abstract 院To seek the essential countermeasures of the grain production safety in Gansu Province, based on the relevant references of 1978-2007, the grain production fluctuations 爷 characteristics was analyzed by using the method of link relative increment rate, such as its fluctuation type was Classical, fluctuates frequently, and the fluctuation range was great; to confirm the main influential factors of Gansu grain yield with the Production Function, including: Sowing area, afflicted area, effective irrigated area, total motive force of agricultural machinery, grain