War-and-Peace培训课件.pptVIP

 USA 10,455 RF 8,400 China 400 France 350 Israel*** 250 UK 200 India*** 65 Pakistan*** 40 North Korea*** 8 Total 20,168 The World’s Nuclear Weapons, 2004 (data from Nuclear Threat Initiative) *** Estimates 精品文档  “The Long War” Guardian | Americas Long War US Nuclear Primacy Foreign Affairs - The Rise of U.S. Nuclear Primacy - Keir A. Lieber and Daryl G. Press 精品文档   The patterns of war, early 21st century: Mostly in the Global South - even though most military preparations are in the North Mostly within states, not between states Casualties overwhelmingly civilian Terrorism a widely used weapon The threat of WMD use The potential for escalation and spread 精品文档  The era of global warfare has not ended: it has merely entered its next stage The dialectics of integration and conflict in world politics Conflict and integration are inseparable from each other Integration has generated new conflicts They are undermining integration Will conflicts converge to produce large-scale warfare on global scale? At what level of conflict will the world achieve more viable and humane forms of integration? 精品文档  Do we have alternatives to escalation? See Kofi Annan’s report “In Larger Freedom”: Report - Table of Contents And UN Secretary-General’s High-level Panel’s report “A More Secure World: Our Shared Responsibility” : Report of the Secretary-Generals High-level Panel 精品文档  A new global security consensus is needed The UN was created in 1945 as a collective security organization – To prevent states from waging aggressive wars on other states It was understood that peace and security would require: facilitating socioeconomic development and protection of human rights 精品文档  SECURITY DEVELOPMENT HUMAN RIGHTS are inseparable 精品文档  “Sixty years later, we know all too well that the biggest security threats we face now, and in the decades ahead, go far beyond States waging aggressive war… …The threats are from non-state actors