经济增长收敛研究问题.pdfVIP

Statistics and Application 统计学与应用, 2018, 7(2), 183-191 Published Online April 2018 in Hans. /journal/sa /10.12677/sa.2018.72023 Research on the Convergence of Economic Growth —Taking Sichuan as an Example * Jian Yang , Wangyong Lv College of Mathematics and Software Science, Sichuan Normal University, Chengdu Sichuan nd th th Received: Apr. 2 , 2018; accepted: Apr. 20 , 2018; published: Apr. 27 , 2018 Abstract Taking Sichuan Province as the research object, this paper analyzes the convergence of economic growth in Sichuan province from 2005 to 2015 by using the theory and model of spatial econo- metrics with convergence method. The study finds that among the 21 municipal economic growth of Sichuan province has no significant spatial correlation, regional economic development is in- fluenced by the level of economic development in adjacent areas is relatively weak. Regional economy in Sichuan province shows the convergence of the state in the early stage of research, and then begins to have divergent trend. At the same time, the research shows that the cities with good economic development are not obvious to the whole economic development of Sichuan province. Keywords Economic Growth, βConvergence, Moran’I, Spatial Lag Model 经济增长收敛问题的研究 — 以四川省为例 * 杨 键 ，吕王勇 四川师范大学数学与软件科学学院，四川 成都 收稿日期：2018年4月2 日；录用日期：2018年4月20 日；发布日期：2018年4月27 日 *通讯作者。 文章引用: 杨键, 吕王勇. 经济增长收敛问题的研究[J]. 统计学与应用, 2018, 7(2): 183-191. DOI: 10.12677/sa.2018.72023 杨键，吕王勇 摘 要 本文以四川省为研究对象，运用空间计量经济学的相关理论和模型，并结合β收敛法分析了2005~2015 年四川省经济增长的收敛性。研究发现，四川省21个地市级之间经济增长水平不存在显著的空间相关性， 各地区经济发展受相邻地区经济发展水平的影响程度相对较弱；四川省的区域经济在研究的初期阶段呈