毕业设计（论文）《湖北省城镇化和碳排放论文》.docVIP

PAGE PAGE 3 摘要 城镇化是人类经济社会发展的一个重要标志，是经济社会发展的必然趋势。随着我国城镇化进程的不断推进和工业化的发展，能源的需求量急剧增加，而大量的能源消费导致大量的碳排放，进而给气候环境带来负面影响。如何把握城镇化和碳排放之间的关系，将关系到我国城镇化和环境保护能否协调发展，这是本文的主要研究目的。湖北省是我国的一个工业大省，城镇化进程发展较快，本文以湖北省为例进一步探讨城镇化与碳排放之间的关系，为其他省的城镇化和环境保护协调发展提供经验。 本文以湖北省1995-2011年数据为基础，利用因素分解对湖北省城镇化和碳排放之间的关系进行了分析研究，主要从产业排放强度、经济发展因素、人口因素和各产业对GDP的贡献率四个因素，分析各个因素对碳排放的影响程度，进而为湖北省在推进城镇化的同时实现碳减排提供建议，达到城镇化和环境协调发展。 关键词：城镇化 碳排放 因素分解 Abstract Urbanization is an important symbol of human economic and social development, is the inevitable trend of economic and social development. With the advancement of Chinas urbanization process and the development of industrialization, the demand of energy has increased dramatically, and a lot of energy consumption led to huge amounts of carbon emissions, thus to climate environment have a negative impact. How to grasp the relationship between the urbanization and carbon emissions, will be related to whether the coordinated development of urbanization and environmental protection in China, it is main research purpose of this article. Hubei province is a large industrial province in China, the rapid development of urbanization process, this paper, taking hubei province as an example to further explore the relationship between the urbanization and carbon emissions, for other provinces to provide experience for urbanization and environment protection coordination development. In this paper, based on the data from 1995 to 2011 in hubei province, using the factorization of hubei province urbanization and the relationship between carbon emissions has carried on the analysis and research, mainly from industrial emissions intensity, economic development factors, demographic factors and industrial contribution rate of GDP in four factors, analysis the influence degree of various factors on carbon emissions, at the same time of promoting urbanization in hubei province and so as to realize the provide Suggestions to reduce emissions, to achieve the urbanization and the enviro