Anselin空间计量经济学研究综述30 years of spatial econometrics.pdfVIP

doi:10. 1111/j.1435-5957.2010.00279.x * Thirty years of spatial econometrics pirs_279 3..26 Luc Anselin1 1 GeoDa Center for Geospatial Analysis and Computation, School of Geographical Sciences and Urban Planning Arizona State University, Tempe, AZ 84287-5302, USA (e-mail: luc.anselin@) Received: 1 November 2009 / Accepted: 29 November 2009 Abstract. In this paper, I give a personal view on the development of the field of spatial econometrics during the past 30 years. I argue that it has moved from the margins to the mainstream of applied econometrics and social science methodology. I distinguish three broad phases in the development, which I refer to as preconditions, take off and maturity. For each of these phases I describe the main methodological focus and list major contributions. I conclude with some speculations about future directions. JEL classification: R15, C31, B23 Key words: Spatial econometrics, spatial analysis, regional modelling 1 Introduction It has been some 30 years since Paelinck and Klaassen (1979) published a small volume entitled Spatial econometrics, which arguably was the first comprehensive attempt at outlining the field of spatial econometrics and its distinct methodology. So, somewhat arbitrarily, I am taking 1979 as the historical starting point for spatial econometrics. This is not solely motivated by the publication of the Paelinck-Klaassen book, but also by a number of other important volumes and articles that appeared in that year. For example, two related books that put the importance of spatial and space-time data analysis front and centre were the edited volume by Bartels and Ketellapper (1979) on Exploratory and explanatory analysis of spatial data and the book by Bennett (1979) on Sp