基于谐波反应法的区域建筑冷热负荷预测.pdf

基于谐波反应法的区域建筑冷热负荷预测 华北电力大学 高月芬 1，南珊珊，高亭亭 摘 要：全面、准确了解建筑冷热负荷水平及其动态特性是制冷供热设备选型和资源调配的关 键。本文采用基于谐波反应法的HDY-SMAD 软件对保定某产业园区进行冷热负荷预测，首先对园区建 筑群简化分类化为标准建筑，然后对各类标准建筑进行模拟，可以得到各分区全年冷热负荷、整个 园区典型日冷热负荷分布情况和园区高峰冷热负荷指标。各分区及整个园区高峰冷热负荷出现的时 间点不同；各分区高峰冷热负荷之和远远大于园区的高峰冷热负荷；该园区的高峰冷热负荷指标分 别为159.50 W/m2 2 和112.15 W/m 。 关键词：谐波反应法；冷热负荷预测；区域建筑 Cooling and heating load prediction for community building based on harmonic reaction method North China Electric Power University GAO Yuefen, NAN Shanshan, GAO Tingting Abstract: Comprehensive and accurate understanding of cooling and heating load level and dynamic characteristics of buildings is the key to equipment selection and resource allocation. In this study, the HDY-SMAD software based on the harmonic reaction method is used to predict the cold and heat load of an industrial park in Baoding. Firstly, the architectural complex was simplified into standard buildings, and then all kinds of standard buildings are simulated to obtain the annual cold and heat load in each district, the distribution of cold and heat loads on the typical day and the peak values of cold and heat load of the whole park. Peak values of cold and heat load occur at different points in time in different districts and the whole park; The total peak values of cold and heat load in each district is far greater than the whole park. 2 2 The peak values of cold and heat load index of the park are 112.15 W/m and 159.50 W/m . Keywords: harmonic reaction method; cooling and heating load prediction; community building 1 引言 准确而高效地预测建筑冷热动态负荷是区域能源规划的基础。利用软件进行负荷模拟计算是目 前较广泛的一种手段，它是根据当地气象参数、建筑信息以及设计参数，通过计算机模拟仿真手段 获得建筑逐时动态负荷预测值。负荷模拟软件及模拟方法多种多样，如DOE-2 软件、DeST 软件、分 段线性回归分析法、主要决定因素法、基于蒙特卡罗的区域建筑冷负荷预测方法[1-5]等。本文采用基 于谐波反应法的 HDY-SMAD 软件对保定某产业园区进行冷热负荷预测，首先对园区建筑群简化分类 化为标准建筑，然后对各类标准建筑进行模拟，可以得到各分区全年冷热负荷、