陕南汉江走廊旅游开发初始条件分析.docxVIP

陕南汉江走廊旅游开发初始条件分析黄芸玛1孙根年2陈蓉1( 1．2．青海师范大 陕南汉江走廊旅游开发初始条件分析 黄芸玛1 孙根年2 陈蓉1 ( 1． 2． 青海师范大学 生命与地理科学学院，青海 西宁 810008; 陕西师范大学 旅游与环境学院，陕西 西安 710062) 摘要: 区域旅游开发的初始条件是旅游研究中的新问题。提出了旅游开发初始条件新概念，并对其特征、分类及旅游初 始条件与旅游发展的关系进行了阐述。研究目的: 旅游初始条件与旅游发展有着密切的关系。以陕南为例，通过分析旅 游初始条件，为陕南旅游发展决策提供依据。研究方法: 用定性的方法及主成分分析方法对陕南三市 1998 ～ 2008 年初始 条件进行了定性、定量分析，然后又从 2002 ～ 2008 年时间序列进行了分析。结果显示: ( 1 ) 从定性分析的角度来看， 陕南旅游发展的初始条件有了很大的改进，尤其 2007 年以后，旅游发展各项指标都有了显著改进。 ( 2 ) 从定量评价来 看，陕南各市旅游发展的初始条件在空间表现出明显的差异，从西到东逐渐衰减，依次为汉中、安康和商洛。 ( 3 ) 从时 间序列分析来看，2002 ～ 2008 年陕南三市的各项指标增长显著，旅游发展的初始条件已具备。 关键词: 旅游初始条件; 旅游发展; 陕南 中图分类号: F590. 3 文献标识码: A The Evaluation and Analysis of Time Series on the Tourism Development of the Initial Conditions in South of Shaanxi Province in China HUANG Yunma1 ，SUN Gengnian2 ，CHEN Rong1 ( 1． Biology and Geography College，Qinghai Normal University，Xining Qinghai 810008，China; 2． Tourism and Environment College，Shaanxi Normal University，Xi＇an Shaanxi 710062，China) Abstract: The regional tourism development of the initial conditions is the new problems． This paper firstly analysis tourism initial conditions concept，characteristic and classification then analysis the relationship between tourism development and regional initial conditions． The initial conditions for tourism development of the individual element was analyzed and on this basis，establishment the evaluation system and assess in a quantitative way． The results showed that，from the angle of qualitative，the tourism initial conditions and tourist development has closely relation． The initial conditions in South of Shaanxi are much improved，especially af- ter 2007． The tourism development of various indicators has been a noticeable improvement． The initial conditions in the space dis- played obvious differences and began to decay from west to east． From quantitative assessment，various indicators of South of Shaanxi are improved． The initial conditions in South of Shaanxi are already． Key words: tourism initial condi