特大城交通走廊通勤客流Nested.pdfVIP

Computer Engineering and Applications 计算机工程与应用 2016 ，52（21 ） 229 特大城市交通走廊通勤客流Nested-Logit 模型研究 沈 犁，张 桐，王周全 SHEN Li, ZHANG Tong, WANG Zhouquan 西南交通大学 交通运输与物流学院，成都 610031 School of Transportation and Logistics, Southwest Jiaotong University, Chengdu 610031, China SHEN Li, ZHANG Tong, WANG Zhouquan. Nested-Logit model of combined selection for commuters analysis in urban transportation corridor. Computer Engineering and Applications, 2016, 52 （21 ）：229-234. Abstract ：To analyze the traveling selection characteristics of commuters in urban transportation corridor in morning peak period and the discipline of passenger flow when traffic management control measures are implemented, this paper focuses on the combined selection problem about commuters ’mode choice behavior and departure-time along the corridor, then builds a Nested-Logit model which gets departure time located in lower layer. By analyzing the sample data of commuter travel along the north-south corridor in Chengdu city to explore effective tactics and measures, the NL model is adopted to simulate the situation with traffic control measures implemented. The result shows that NL model is more rational and exhibits better statistic characteristic compared with traditional MNL model, and it reflects the real distribu- tion of commuters at peak hours in urban transportation corridor, calculates the influence of traffic management control measures on commuters ’mode choice behavior, providing important support for optimizing the mode structure and improv- ing service efficiency of urban transportation corridors. Key words ：urban transportation corridor; combined selection; travel mode choice; departure-time choice; Nested-Logit model; traffic management control measures 摘 要：为了科学分析特大城市交通客运走廊内高峰时段通勤者的出行选择特征，以及交通需求管理措施施行时不 同时段、不同方式之间的客流流向规律，研究了走廊内高峰时段通勤者基于出行方式与出发时刻的二维联合选择问 题，建立了方式选择枝位于上层而时刻选择枝位于下层的联合选择Nested-Logit 模型。其