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- 2020-07-15 发布于浙江
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r Policy Research Working Paper 9313
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u COVID-19 Age-Mortality Curves Are
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Gabriel Demombynes
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Human Development Global Practice
July 2020
Policy Research Working Paper 9313
Abstract
A greater share of reported COVID-19 deaths occur at for those ages 70–79 is 12.6 times the rate for those ages
younger ages in low- and middle-income countries (LMICs) 50–59. In LMICs, that ratio is just 3.5. With each year of
compared to high-income countries (HICs). Based on data age, the age-specific mortality rate increases by an average
from 26 countries, people age 70 and older constitute 37 of 12.6 percent in HICs versus 7.1 percent in LMICs. This
percent of deaths attributed to COVID-19 in LMICs pattern holds overall and separately for men’s and women’s
on average, versus 87 percent in HICs. Only part of this mortality rates. It reflects some combination of variation
difference is accounted for by differences in population across countries in age patterns of infection rates, fatality
age structure. In this paper, COVID-19 mortality rates rates among those infected, and under-attribution of deaths
are calculated for each age group by dividing the number to COVID-19. The findings highlight that experiences with
of COVID-19 deaths by th
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