FTA深度一体化的测度及其对价值链贸易的影响研究.pdfVIP

摘 要 2005 2015 15 本文根据中国在 - 年间与 个国家或地区签订自由贸易协定文本， 全面考察自由贸易协定条款覆盖范围和具备的法律约束力，并分别在 “覆盖力” 和 “约束力”两大标准下构建了FTA “总指数”、 “核心指数”、 “WTO+指 WTO -X 12 数”、“ 指数”、“关税指数”和 “非关税指数”等共计 项衡量协 定 “深度”一体化的指标。其次利用OECD-TiVA 数据库对中国2005-2015年双 边出口值进行了分解，得出中国出口中的国内增加值和国外增加值，并作为衡量 中国全球价值链贸易的重要内容。最后利用贸易引力模型实证分析了中国 FTA “深度”一体化对中国全球价值链贸易的影响，研究结论表明自由贸易协定 的 “深度”一体化将显著促进中国国内增加值出口，“约束力”深度的促进作用 是 “覆盖力”深度作用的两倍；且与中高及以上收入国家签订的自由贸易协定的 促进效用更显著；同时自由贸易协定的 “深度”一体化对的中低技术制造业、中 高技术制造业和高技术行业均存在正向促进作用。 关键词 自由贸易协定；深度一体化；国内增加值；价值链贸易 V Abstract Based on the texts of free trade agreements signed by China with 15 countries or region from 2005 to 2015, this article taked coverage and enforcement into consideration. 12 indicators were created to measuring the deep integration of the agreement, including the FTA Total Index, Core Index, WTO + Index, WTO- X Index, Tariff Index and Non-tariff Index were created. Secondly, the OECD-TiVA database was used to decompose Chinas bilateral export value from 2005 to 2015, and the domestic and foreign value added in Chinas exports were derived, and they were an important part of measuring Chinas Global Value Chain trade. Finally, the trade gravity model is used to analyze the impact of Chinas deep integration of FTA on China’s domestic value-added exports, the results showed that deep integration of FTA would greatly affect domestic value-added exports，and its effect from “enforcement” index is twice larger than that of “coverage”. And the impact of the free trade agreements signed with middle-high and high income countries is larger; meanwhile middle-low skilled industry, high skilled and middle-high skilled industries are easier been boostedby deep integrationof free trade agreements． Keywords：Deep Integration ofFTA；Domestic