基于格兰杰因果检验的南京市房价地价相互关系的实证研究.pdf

目录 中文摘要·····················································1 ·····1 英文摘要················································ 一、导言·····················································2 （一）南京市房价走势分析·································2 ····················3 （二）南京市土地市场情况分析········· （三）问题的提出·········································5 ··········5 二、文献回顾······································· （一）对南京市房地产市场的研究现状·······················5 （二）全国范围内关于房价与地价关系的研究情况·············6 三、模型、数据的选取·········································7 ···························7 （一）模型的确定·············· （二）数据的选取·········································8 ················9 四、实证分析································· （一）相关性分析·········································9 （二）平稳性检验·········································9 ········································10 （三）协整检验··· （四）格兰杰因果检验·····································11 ···················12 五、结论及政策建议························ （一）继续坚持“招拍挂”制度，保证土地应有价值的实现·····12 （二）短期内政策应注重调整房屋的供需矛盾·················12 （三）长期内应加大对城市次中心的开发建设力度·············13 ·······14 参考文献·············································· 附录·························································16 0 基于格兰杰因果检验的 南京市房价地价相互关系的实证研究 内容摘要：本文从定量分析的角度研究了南京市的房价与地价之间的相互关系。使用的 是格兰杰因果检验方法。研究结果显示：在短期，南京的房价对地价有一定的影响，而 从长期看，地价则在一定程度上作