阿尔及利亚与非洲大陆自由贸易区（ACFTA）国家之间的贸易潜力分析.pdf

摘要 本文旨在研究加入非洲大陆自由贸易区（ACFTA ）对阿尔及利亚对外贸易的影响。通过对 阿尔及利亚与ACFTA 国家之间的贸易分析，以确定阿尔及利亚与该区域集团成员国之间的贸 易潜力。 针对 1996-2017 年 53 个非洲合作伙伴的样本数据，利用引力模型对自贸区内部贸易的影 响因素进行了分析。 研究结果表明，传统的引力模型变量是与自由贸易区国家贸易的主要决定因素。此外，区 域一体化推动了该集团成员国之间的贸易。 最后，阿尔及利亚与非洲地区许多经济体之间存在着尚未开发的贸易潜力，而这进一步证 明了通过并实施改革方案的重要性。 关键词：贸易潜力，引力模型，贸易互补性，贸易强度，显性比较优势，ACFTA ，区域一体化 vii TABLE OF CONTENTS ACKNOWLEDGEMENTS v ABSTRACT vi 摘要vii TABLE OF CONTENTS viii LIST OF ABBREVIATIONS x LIST OF TABLESxi LIST OF FIGURESxii CHAPTER ONE 1 INTRODUCTION 1 1.1 Background and problem statement 1 1.2 Significance of study 3 1.3 Aim and Objectives 3 1.4 Research contents and logic framework 3 1.5 Research methods 4 1.6 Innovation and Limitations 4 CHAPTER TWO 6 REVIEW OF RELATED LITERATURE 6 2.1 Theoretical literature: the Concept and Theory of Regional Integration 6 2.1.1 Theory of Customs Unions 6 2.1.2 The theoretical foundations of European regional integration 7 2.1.3 Traditional approaches to integration between developing countries 8 2.2 Empirical literature 9 2.2.1 Review of Regional Integration 9 2.2.2 Empirical review of trade potential 10 CHAPTER THREE 14 STATUS OF REGIONAL INTEGRATION IN AFRICA: A SPECIAL FOCUS ON ALGERIA’S CASE 14 3.1 A brief background about Regional Integration in Africa 14 3.1.1 Status Quo 14 3.1.2 Regional Integration in Africa 15 3.1.3 Major challenges of intra-African trade 17 3.2 A brief background about Algeria’ Regional Integration 19 viii 3.2.1 Commercial commitments of Algeria: Status Quo 20 3.2.2 Trade policies and divers