对人口流动的冲击：全球新冠疫情大流行和封锁的长期影响（英文）.pdf

DIIS POLICY BRIEF AUGUST 2020 SHOCK MOBILITY Long-term impacts of the COVID-19 pandemic and lock-down Shock mobilities are sudden human movements FUTURE IMPLICATIONS made in response to acute disruptions, such as the present COVID-19 pandemic. Unlike planned ■ Shock mobilities may affect broader socioeconomic migration, shock mobility encompasses various relations in the future. Five manifestations of shock degrees of forced migration or can be categorized mobilities as ‘link moments’ provide clues as to as reactive migration caused by a crisis situation. how. Forced migration often starts with shock mobility, ■ How shock mobilities will be received and but shock mobility does not always lead to internalized in the years ahead is uncertain. They protracted forced migration. could yield significant impacts on state-citizen relations, as well as on relations between different An estimated three hundred thousand residents left populations. Wuhan in the eight hours between the announcement of the lock-down on 23 January 2020 and the actual ■ The ‘shocks’ give us a glimpse into the world we are entering. Tomorrow’s normality will grow out halting of public transportation. Wuhan residents were of today’s disruption. Therefore, a better under- angry about the timing of the announcement