(已知实际有癌症.docVIP

機率midterm, Fall 2004 姓名: __________________ 學號: ________________ 分數: _________________ Let be a Poisson() random variable. Find Let be a Binomial(, ) random variable. Show that , , . An absentminded professor does not remember which of his 12 keys will open his office door. If he tries them at random and with replacement: On average, how many keys should he try before his door opens? What is the probability that he opens his office door after only 3 tries? Find 4. Ann puts at most one piece of fruit in her childs lunch bag everyday. If she has only 3 oranges and 2 apples for the next 8 lunches of her child, in how many ways can she do this? Of the 28 professors in a certain department, 18 drive foreign and 10 drive domestic cars. If 5 of these professors are selected at random, let equal the number of them drive foreign car. Find Suppose that there was a cancer diagnostic test that was 95% accurate both on those that do and those that do not have the disease. (已知實際有癌症, 檢定出來是有癌症的機率為0.95, 已知實際沒有癌症, 檢定出來是沒有癌症的機率為0.95) If 0.004=0.4% of the population have cancer, compute the probability that a test person has cancer, given that his or her test result indicate so.(求已知檢定出來是有癌症, 此人實際有癌症的機率) A box has 8 red and 10 black balls. A ball is selected from the box. If the ball is black, it is returned to the box. If the ball is red, it and 3 additional red balls are added to the box. Find the probability that a second ball selected from the box is red. The suicide rate in a certain state in 1 suicide per 100000 inhabitants per month. (在某州自殺率為每個月, 每十萬居民有一個) Find the probability that in a city of 400000 inhabitants within this state, there will be 2 or more suicides in a given month. (在此州某城市有四十萬居民, 請問在某個月至少有2次或多於2次自殺的機率) What is the probability that there will be at least 3 months during the year that will have 2 or more suicides?(求在一年12月中，至少有3個月會有2次或多於2次自殺的機率) is the cdf of Sketch the graph of . 畫在函數旁 Compute Let the pmf be positive at , and zero el