中国的增长情况如何.docxVIP

How Stable Is China’s Growth? Shedding Light on Sparse Data Hunter Clark, Jeff Dawson, and Maxim Pinkovskiy China faces skepticism about the accuracy of its GDP growth statistics, fueled by incidents of data falsification, secrecy around methodological pro- cesses, and press censorship, especially during periods of economic stress. Against this backdrop, the authors present alternative indicators for measuring China’s business cycles using variables that are closely related to China’s “true” economic growth, but unlikely to be subject to manipulation. Those proxies, which employ index- and f