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Team B80284
Team Number :80284
Problem Chosen : B
2018 APMCM summary sheet
Retain Talent, Retain Future
Abstract
Talents are the source of power for urban development. The core goal of this paper is to
establish a scientific urban talent demand model through relevant data in the job market, and
provide suggestions and opinions for talent cultivation.
Firstly, after classifying and summarizing the data in annex, we analyze the talent demand
from the aspects of total talent demand, education background, job demand in various sectors.
In the qualitative analysis, we illustrate features by studying trends and changes, comparing
proportion, similarities and differences. In the quan ative analysis, Association Analysis of
Aprio ri Algorithms is used to find correlation between indexes. We also do commonness
analysis based on the K-means clustering analysis and Q-cluster analysis. With global and
partial analysis , we find the talent demand has a cyclical fluctuation as a whole, and the
feature that job demand exceed s supply is very apparent.
Secondly, linear programming model is established to describe the relationship between
demand and supply of talents, showing talent demand and employment situation. With the
Residual Independence Test, Variance Analysis, T-test, the rationality of quantification has
been demonstrated. Based on above conclusions and Exponential Smoothing Method,
prediction problem of talent demand and supply can be solved. We conclude that demand of
tertiary industry will increase in the future, service industry like sa , will be more prosperous.
Thirdly, from horizontal
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