第二章时间序列的预处理_.pptx

第二章 时间序列的预处理;本章结构;2.1平稳性检验 ;概率分布;特征统计量;平稳时间序列的定义;平稳时间序列的统计定义 ;严平稳与宽平稳的关系;平稳时间序列的统计性质 ;自相关系数的性质;时间序列数据结构的特殊性;平稳性的重大意义;平稳性的检验（图检验方法） ;例题;例2.1:中国纱年产量时序图;例2.1自相关图;例2.2:奶牛月产奶量时序图;例2.2 自相关图;例2.3：北京市每年最高气温时序图;例2.3自相关图;本章结构;2.2 纯随机性检验 ;纯随机序列的定义;标准正态白噪声序列时序图 ;白噪声序列的性质 ;纯随机性检验 ;Barlett定理 ;假设条件;检验统计量;判别原则;例2.4：标准正态白噪声序列纯随机性检验;检验结果;例2.5;例2.5 时序图;例2.5自相关图;例2.5白噪声检验结果;本章SAS操作指导;谢谢 !;1、Genius only means hard-working all ones life. (Mendeleyer, Russian Chemist)? 天才只意味着终身不懈的努力。20.8.58.5.202011:0311:03:10Aug-2011:03 2、Our destiny offers not only the cup of despair, but the chalice of opportunity. (Richard Nixon, American President )命运给予我们的不是失望之酒，而是机会之杯。二〇二〇年八月五日2020年8月5日星期三 3、Patience is bitter, but its fruit is sweet. (Jean Jacques Rousseau , French thinker)忍耐是痛苦的，但它的果实是甜蜜的。11:038.5.202011:038.5.202011:0311:03:108.5.202011:038.5.2020 4、All that you do, do with your might; things done by halves are never done right. ----R.H. Stoddard, American poet做一切事都应尽力而为，半途而废永远不行8.5.20208.5.202011:0311:0311:03:1011:03:10 5、You have to believe in yourself. Thats the secret of success. ----Charles Chaplin人必须相信自己，这是成功的秘诀。-Wednesday, August 5, 2020August 20Wednesday, August 5, 20208/5/2020 6、Almost any situation---good or bad---is affected by the attitude we bring to. ----Lucius Annaus Seneca差不多任何一种处境---无论是好是坏---都受到我们对待处境态度的影响。11时3分11时3分5-Aug-208.5.2020 7、Although the world is full of suffering, it is full also of the overcoming of it.----Hellen Keller, American writer虽然世界多苦难，但是苦难总是能战胜的。20.8.520.8.520.8.5。2020年8月5日星期三二〇二〇年八月五日 8、For man is man and master of his fate.----Tennyson人就是人，是自??命运的主人11:0311:03:108.5.2020Wednesday, August 5, 2020 9、When success comes in the door, it seems, love often goes out the window.-----Joyce Brothers成功来到门前时，爱情往往就走出了窗外。11:038.5.202011:038.5.202011:0311:03:108.5.202011:038.5.2020 10、Life is measured by thought and action, not by time. ——Lubbock 衡量生命的尺度是思想和行为，而不是时间。8.5.20208.5.202011:0311:0311:03:1011:03:10 11、To make a lasting marriage we have to overcome self-