中国创新体系的问题和发展和北师大同志们的对话与探讨.pptxVIP

问题、观察、模型、检验-- 科学研究的心路历程;走上科学之路;好问题，就解决了问题的一半;如何观察“真实〞世界？警惕有色眼镜！;观察、提问、与理论思维的跨学科互动;Logistic Growth in US Automobile Industry (Output as Percentage of GDP);Carrying Capacity, Technology Wavelets, Rise and Fall of Power (Product, Growth,) Cycles ;Culture Factor and Learning by Trying in Facing a New Market;观察案例与观察数据;SP500 Stock Price Index FSPCOM with log-linear (LL) and HP growth trends;Detrended cycles with varying lengths;Varying length of de-autocorrelations from varying length of time windows TAFD TAHP TALLD;White Noise (35%) vs. Persistent Cycles (65%)Correlation dimension =2.5Color chaos (strange attractor)Cross-correlation = 0.94;Phase portraits of SP 500 HPc cyclesWhite image vs. color chaos;Uncertainty Principle in Signal Processing;Gabor (Gaussian) Wavelet with Minimum Uncertainty;Gabor Space (1946) in discrete time-frequency space;Separating signals and noise in Gabor (time-frequency) space;Principle of Large Numbers for Positive Variables ;Observed MV ? Effective CN (Data Source: Fed. Reserve St. Louis);Stable RD in US Macro Indexesobserved under HP filter ;RD Behavior for Stochastic Models ;寻找理论的暗中假设;寻找最简单的理论模型?但能解释新类别的现象;Multi-Staged Pure Birth ProcessMulti-Humped Distribution;集体行为的单峰与双峰分布：非理性行为的集体模型;双峰分布的经验证据：美国13岁男孩的性发育分布;软边界振子与高速公路模型〔1988〕;决定论分岔与多峰分布;登泰山而小天下;好奇和梦想是科学的动力！;文献;9、 人的价值，在招收诱惑的一瞬间被决定。6月-216月-21Monday, June 28, 2021 10、低头要有勇气，抬头要有低气。01:39:3101:39:3101:396/28/2021 1:39:31 AM 11、人总是珍惜为得到。6月-2101:39:3101:39Jun-2128-Jun-21 12、人乱于心，不宽余请。01:39:3101:39:3101:39Monday, June 28, 2021 13、生气是拿别人做错的事来惩罚自己。6月-216月-2101:39:3101:39:31June 28, 2021 14、抱最大的希望，作最大的努力。28 六月 20211:39:31 上午01:39:316月-21 15、一个人炫耀什么，说明他内心缺少什么。。六月 211:39 上午6月-2101:39June 28, 2021 16、业余生活要有意义，不要越轨。2021/6/28 1:39:3101:39:3128 June 2021 17、一个人即使已登上顶峰，也仍要自强不息。1:39:31 上午1:39 上午01:39:316月-21