基于MTA模式下的库存管理研究.docVIP

┊ ┊ ┊ ┊ ┊ ┊ ┊ ┊ ┊ ┊ ┊ ┊ ┊ 装 ┊ ┊ ┊ ┊ ┊ 订 ┊ ┊ ┊ ┊ ┊ 线 ┊ ┊ ┊ ┊ ┊ ┊ ┊ ┊ ┊ ┊ ┊ ┊ ┊ 基于MTA模式下的库存管理研究 ┊ ┊ ┊ ┊ ┊ ┊ ┊ ┊ ┊ ┊ ┊ ┊ ┊ 装 ┊ ┊ ┊ ┊ ┊ 订 ┊ ┊ ┊ ┊ ┊ 线 ┊ ┊ ┊ ┊ ┊ ┊ ┊ ┊ ┊ ┊ ┊ ┊ ┊ PAGE IV PAGE III 摘要 库存管理一直受到企业高度重视，成为研究的重点和热点，该领域的战略意义如今已得到高层管理者的广泛认可。传统的库存管理方法有MTO（Make-to-Order)订单式生产，MTS(Make-to-Stock)库存式生产。而对于快速消费品（FMCG）行业中，产品良好的可得性是消费者的重大需求，而前两种生产模式不足以满足客户要货有货的需求。 为了确保接近100%的高服务水准，即对订单出货接近100%的及时响应，采用MTA(Make-to-Availability)技术，即采用可得性生产模式构建快速消费品生产企业的竞争优势。 本文主要是在MTA方法的基础上，使用层次分析法（AHP）、模糊综合评价法（FEM）、局部加权线性回归（LWR）等方法，分别确定各影响因素的权重、各产品的服务水平以及产品的安全因子。在此基础上求得各产品的缓冲库存并且动态调整、合理安排产品生产顺序，以便管理者能做出合理的决策。通过对某烟草公司的生产库存及UCI数据集中的销售数据的仿真，得到了满足快消品的生产和市场需要的MTA模式及其相关生产策略。 [关键字] 可得性生产 快速消费品 层次分析法 局部加权线性回归算法 Abstract Inventory management has always been pay much attention by the enterprises. Most senior managers has recognized its strategic significance. Many traditional inventory management methods like MTO (Make-to-Order) Order Production, MTS (Make-to-Stock) stock production has been proposed recent years. But for industry of fast moving consumer goods（FMCG）, the availability of products is the major demand of consumer. These modes of production is insufficient to meet the needs of customers. In order to ensure the nearly 100% standarded service,we use Make-to-Availability (MTA) method which can mostly boost the competitiveness of industry. In this paper, based on the MTA method , we use the Analytic Hierarchy Process (AHP), fuzzy comprehensive evaluation method(FEM), locally weighted linear regression (LWR) algorithm to get the weight of each factor,the service of products and the safety factors. Based on these methods we get the buffer stock by which we can dynamically adjust inventory,Arrange production order, make reasonable decision. We used the dataset of a tobacco company and U