水晶球软件使用CrystalBall.pptxVIP

会计学1水晶球软件使用CrystalBall Session 9 GoalsUnderstand why risk must be analyzedKnow pros / cons for three ways to analyze riskIdentify random variables in modelsKnow the four steps of a simulation processGenerate random numbers with Crystal BallUse the four steps of a simulation processExplain how Crystal Ball supports Proj. Mgmt.2第1页/共30页 Most real-world business situations today are probabilistic, but the decision models used to deal with them are deterministic.How to deal with randomness?Ignore itSimplify problem to make it analytically tractable, get solution, then ignore real-life complication