淮河流域汛期面雨量多模式预报检验评估.pdfVIP

淮河流域汛期面雨量多模式预报检验评估 刘静;叶金印;张晓红;王皓 【摘要】Based on the observations from conventional weather stations and the rainfall forecasts respectively obtained from four numerical weather prediction models of European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts (ECMWF), Japan Meteorological Agency (JMA), Meso- scale Model Version 5 (MM5) and Weather Research and Forecasting model (WRF) run by the Anhui Meteorological Observatory during flood season from 2011 to 2012, we evaluate the forecasting performances of the four numerical models mentioned above for the objective areal rain- fa