BiasesinEnvironmentalDecisionAnalysis-MultipleCriteria在环境决策分析-多标准偏差.pptVIP

Can We Avoid Biases in Environmental Decision Analysis ?Raimo P. H?m?l?inenHelsinki University of TechnologySystems Analysis Laboratory Structure of the presentationBackground decision analysis interviewsGoals of the studyCase: Regulation of Lake P?ij?nneSplitting bias swapping of levelsDescription of the experimentResults of the experimentConclusions ? Environmental decision analysisParliamentary nuclear power decision(H?m?l?inen et. al)Decision analysis interviews(Marttunen H?m?l?inen)Spontaneous decision conferencing in nuclear emergency management(H?m?l?inen Sinkko) Cognitive biasesSp