Capmcm24202132亚太杯数学建模竞赛一等奖.pdfVIP

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Capmcm24202132亚太杯数学建模竞赛一等奖.pdf

Team#apmc

TeamNumber:apmc

ProblemChosen:C

Researchonanalysisandcountermeasuresofpetindustrydevelop-

mentbasedonARIMAmodel

Summary

Thearticlesprimaryfocusisonthedevelopmenttrendsandmarketforecastsofthepetindustry

inChinaandglobally.Thearticleemploysacombinationofdataandeconomicpolicybackground

informationfrom2019to2023toconductanin-depthanalysisoffourcoreissues:theChinesepet

industry,globalpetfooddemand,Chinesepetfoodproductionandexport,andtheimpactofeco-

nomicpolicies.ThearticleemployscorrelationanalysisandtheARIMAmodeltoexaminethe

growthtrajectoryandmarketdemandforthepetindustryinChinaandglobally.Thisanalysisaims

toprovideinsightsthatinformresearchandpracticewithinthepetindustry.

Forquestion1,thisarticlepresentsananalysisandpredictionofthedevelopmentofChinas

petindustry.ThedataonthenumberofpetcatsanddogsinChinafrom2019to2023iseffectively

handledbythisarticlethroughtheapplicationofdescriptivestatistics,datacleaning,andunitroot

tests,whichensuretheintegrityandstabilityofthedata,despitethepresenceofmissingvaluesand

outliers.Onthisbasis,anARIMAmodelisemployedtoanalysethedevelopmenttrendofChinas

petindustryoverthepastfiveyearsandtopredictthechangesinthepetmarketoverthenextthree

years.Thefindingsindicatethatthenumberofpetcatsisexhibitinganotableupwardtrajectory,

whereasthenumberofpetdogsremainsrelativelyconstant.Thecatmarketisemergingasakey

driverofgrowthwithintheindustry,offeringacrucialfoundationforthedevelopmentofpolicyand

corporateplanningstrategies.

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