旧大陆,新增长:养老金改革成为欧洲经济引擎.docxVIP

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旧大陆,新增长:养老金改革成为欧洲经济引擎.docx

OldContinent,NewGrowth

PensionReformasanEconomicEngineforEurope

January2026

Contents

03Introduction

04TheArtoftheFeasible:ModelingReform

08NationalPensionFunds:GovernmentsHarness

theMarket

?LessonsfromNewZealandandCanada

?FeasibilityinWesternEurope

13Individual,First-PillarAccounts:BalancingtheBurdenAcrossGenerations

?LessonsfromSweden

?FeasibilityinWesternEurope

15FundedOccupationalPensions:ExpandingAccessforAll?LessonsfromtheNetherlandsandtheUS

?ACountry-by-CountryReformAgenda

?CalculatingthePotential

18APracticalGuidetoExpandingFundedPensions?NationalPensionFunds

?Individual,First-PillarAccounts

?FundedOccupationalPensions

20Appendix

Introduction

AsEuropeanpolicymakersgrapplewiththedualchallengesofpensionshortfallsandproductivitylags,somehave

suggestedlinkingthetwo.InOctober2025,formerItalianprimeministerEnricoLettacalledfortheintegrationof

pensionfundsandinvestmentaccountstocreateasinglepoolofEuropeansavingsavailableforEuropean

investment.Theideahasalsobeenloatedbythe

EuropeanParliament’sResearchServiceandtheEuropeanCommissionerfortheSavingsandInvestmentUnion,

amongothers.

Itisdifficulttobuildpoliticalconsensusaround

fundamentalreformstothepensionsystem.Butwe

believethatsignificantprogresscanbeachievedwithout

majorstructuralredesign—byinsteadreformingthe

financialarchitectureofpensionstobemorerelianton

fundedschemes.Whileinsufficienttoaddressthefull

depthandbreadthofEurope’spensioncrisis,suchreformswoulddelivertangiblemeansofeasingfuturefiscal

burdensforEuropeangovernmentsandtaxpayers.

Atthesametime,byexpandingfundedcomponentsinthepensionsystem,thesereformswouldhavethewelcome

efectofdirectingcapitaltowardproductiveinvestments.

Insodoing,theycanfuelgrowthatatimewhenEurope

n

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