IMF-超越石油：加速出口多样化以实现可持续增长-阿曼（英）-2026.pdfVIP

BeyondOil:Accelerating

ExportDiversificationfor

SustainableGrowth-

Oman

MohamedBelkhir,TakakoIwaki,andNaregMesrobian

SIP/2026/008

IMFSelectedIssuesPapersarepreparedbyIMFstaffas

backgrounddocumentationforperiodicconsultationswith

membercountries.Itisbasedontheinformationavailableat

thetimeitwascompletedonDecember11,2025.Thispaperis

alsopublishedseparatelyasIMFCountryReportNo26/005.

2026

FEB

©2026InternationalMonetaryFundSIP/2026/008

IMFSelectedIssuesPaper

MiddleEastandCentralAsiaDepartment

BeyondOil:AcceleratingExportDiversificationforSustainableGrowth-Oman

PreparedbyMohamedBelkhir,TakakoIwaki,andNaregMesrobian*

AuthorizedfordistributionbyAbdullahAlHassan

February2026

IMFSelectedIssuesPapersarepreparedbyIMFstaffasbackgrounddocumentationforperiodic

consultationswithmembercountries.Itisbasedontheinformationavailableatthetimeitwas

completedonDecember11,2025.ThispaperisalsopublishedseparatelyasIMFCountryReport

No26/005.

ABSTRACT:Sinceoilwasdiscoveredinthe1960s,Oman’seconomyandlivingstandardshaveimproved

significantly.Yet,ithasalsocreatedavulnerableeconomicstructure,witheconomicgrowthandexternaland

fiscalbalancesbeinghighlysensitivetooilpriceswings.Whilecurrentdiversificationeffortshavelaidimportant

groundwork,furtherprogressisneededtoensureeconomicresiliencetooilpricevolatility.Buildinga

competitivenonhydrocarbonexportsectorisessential,asnonhydrocarbonoutputconsistsprimarilyofnon-

tradables,particularlyoflow-addedvaluesectorsrequiringlow-skilledlabor,withl