2026年第二季度阿联酋房地产市场回顾 在地区紧张局势中，宏观增长前景被下调 UAE Real Estate Market Review Q2 2026 Macro Growth Outlook Downgraded Amidst Regional Tensions.docxVIP

Q2226

ModeratesAmidstcurrentRegionalconditions

Macroeconomicoverview

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modestGDpcontractionof-0.04%in2026amidstthenegativeimpactofanextended

regionalconflict.Thishasbeenadjusteddownwardsfromaninitial4.8%GDpgrowth

forecastatthebeginningoftheyear,reflectingcontinueddisruptionstotradeandoilflows,

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UAEhasacceleratedoilproductionandexportsfollowingitsMayexitfromopEC.Thishasallowedoilproductiontoriseabovepre-conflictlevelstoaround3.8millionbarrelsperdayinJune,against3.4millionbarrelsperdayduringJanuaryandF