美联储-失业率之外:结构性劳动力市场指标(英).docxVIP

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美联储-失业率之外:结构性劳动力市场指标(英).docx

FinanceandEconomicsDiscussionSeries

BeyondtheUnemploymentRate:AStructuralLaborMarket

Indicator

BeyondtheUnemploymentRate:AStructuralLaborMarketIndicator*

July2026

Abstract

Labormarketvariablesfrequentlysendconflictingsignalsaboutthedegreeofslackortightness,oftencomplicatingpolicyassessmentsatcriticaljunctures.ThispaperdevelopsaStructuralLaborMarketIndicator(SLMI)fortheU.S.economythataddressesthelimitationsofexistingunivariatemeasuresoratheoreticalstatisticalapproachesthatsynthesizemultiplelabormarketindicatorsbutcann

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